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My talk at Smith on teaching statistics The difference between “statistically significant” and “not statistically significant” is not in itself necessarily statistically significant

Jon Baron on intuitive judgment

Posted on June 13, 2005 8:54 AM by Andrew

Jon Baron, a cognitive psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania, writes about intuitive judgment in the context of the recent book, Blink, by Malcolm Gladwell.

Here are some comments on Blink from Carrie McLaren that I posted a few months ago, in the context of a discussion of rationality and political ideology.

In the comments to that entry is a link to an empirical study by Paul Deignan of information processing and political ideology.

This entry was posted in Decision Analysis by Andrew. Bookmark the permalink.
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  1. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 2:32 PM

    Joshua, I was just trying to provide an answer to your question. A combination of certain other comments and my…

  2. Chris on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 2:00 PM

    Yes good points. When asked to do a review of a paper, which often comes with a request to submit…

  3. Chris on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 1:25 PM

    I had another look at this paper and it actually seems pretty straightforward. The bottom line is that the authors…

  4. Rodney Sparapani on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 1:07 PM

    There are two aspects of the review that are at odds: timeliness vs. thoroughness. First of all, many reviews have…

  5. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 12:39 PM

    AAAnonymous - I haven't read the paper myself, so I can only go by the passage you quoted. Working from…

  6. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 11:52 AM

    Andrew - Thanks for the response. I can't get past the paywall, and honestly I'm not that interested in digging…

  7. Andrew Frain on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 10:16 AM

    Thank you Joshua and Chris. I’ll first reiterate that I respect where the authors’ hearts appear to be, and that…

  8. Chris on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 9:57 AM

    I totally agree Andrew, publications live or die according to post publication perusal whether this is replication, extension by advancing…

  9. Andrew on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 9:51 AM

    Dale, Chris: I agree that reviews add value. For reasons of efficiency, I prefer post-publication review rather than pre-publication review,…

  10. Chris on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 9:45 AM

    Reviewers are gatekeepers to some extent and it depends on the journal. If I'm reviewing a paper for a top…

  11. Dale Lehman on I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being publishedJuly 25, 2026 9:40 AM

    I don't think you should absolve reviewers or editors of responsibility. Ultimately an author is responsible for what they do…

  12. Chris on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 6:31 AM

    Andrew, I agree that the paper blurs the distinction between categorisation and essentialism (the “girl” example posted on a couple…

  13. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 5:08 AM

    @Joshua: You wrote "Could you explain how this treatment blurs the line between categorization and essentialism? Is it in the…

  14. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 25, 2026 4:18 AM

    Another morning, another coffee, another example of why I seem to have a hard time with reading and understanding this…

  15. Olaf Zimmermann on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 10:48 PM

    That's how I wound up here: I had been googleing for a social psychologist whose first name I couldn't recall…

  16. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 9:22 PM

    (I am replying here because the overview is better I reason staring a new comment) @Phil: You wrote "When making…

  17. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 8:41 PM

    Andrew - Could you explain how this treatment blurs the line between categorization and essentialism? Is it in the data,…

  18. Andrew Frain on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 8:18 PM

    Hi all. I’ll jump in as someone who is a fierce advocate for the value of *some* social psychology, but…

  19. gec on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 7:53 PM

    AAA, do you need to take a nap?

  20. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 5:08 PM

    AAAnonymous - Your conjecture about mechanisms is completely vague and skips right over all sorts of important contextual factors. (If…

  21. Phil on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 4:39 PM

    Girls are indeed "fundamentally alike" in some important ways. But they are not fundamentally alike in all important ways, or…

  22. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 3:46 PM

    Quote from above: "Anyway, once one starts focussing down on the minutiae of text with atomic-scale parsing, everything can start…

  23. Michael Murphy on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 3:39 PM

    Suggests that a weak version of Whorf-Sapir holds. Our conceptual scheme depends on the distinctions we take to be real…

  24. Chris on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 3:19 PM

    actually AAanonymous I think you have a point about the "referenced category (girl)" in the excerpt you quoted (sentence repeated…

  25. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 3:06 PM

    "Maybe because I don’t have a built-in, condescending view towards social sciences, I’m more interested in seeing evidence presented. Maybe…

  26. Chris on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 3:02 PM

    Anonymous, I'm not "defending" the paper - I was simply pointing out that their presentation seems quite clear, and like…

  27. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 2:53 PM

    AAAnonymous - By the way, you may not be aware of this but Andrew has linked to some of his…

  28. Andrew on Herman ChernoffJuly 24, 2026 2:52 PM

    Elin: Yeah, it's a clever idea, it's just not a good idea. But that's how things go. It wasn't clear…

  29. Andrew on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 2:44 PM

    Also, this is social science, and I'm interested in social science! The reason for the post is that I like…

  30. Joshua on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 2:42 PM

    AAAnonymous - I haven't read the paper but, like you, I'm looking to see if the blurb holds up. I…

  31. Steve on The 1980 Math Olympiad Program: Where are they now?July 24, 2026 2:35 PM

    I graduated from a Montgomery County high school in 1980, met Brian Hunt at University of Maryland, knew Gregg Patruno…

  32. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 2:10 PM

    "social kinds" ffs...

  33. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 1:54 PM

    Quote from above: "Like Phil I’m a little surprised by your confusion." Another attempt then to focus on just one…

  34. Anonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 1:31 PM

    Chris, Phil: Here’s a question. How can I change my speech patterns such that children are not misled in this…

  35. Chris on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 1:02 PM

    Like Phil I'm a little surprised by your confusion. Firstly, because a main point of the paper seems pretty clear,…

  36. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 1:02 PM

    And, it's of course a big no from me regarding this entire paper and it's examples, and clear or unclear…

  37. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 12:39 PM

    Quote from above: "The thing that struck me about the paper is…I thought everyone has known this stuff for years!…

  38. Phil on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 12:30 PM

    AAAnonymous, I can't figure out what you're on about. For one thing, I find the paper refreshingly light on jargon!…

  39. Anonymous on I am no longer chairing defenses or joining committees where students use generative AI for their writingJuly 24, 2026 12:10 PM

    Drawing a hard line on only chairing defenses where students didn't use generative AI at all seems like a really…

  40. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 12:10 PM

    Father: "Son, look there a cow!" Son: "Aw, the cow says mooooh" Father: "Yes, very good my boy!" SKREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEETCH Social…

  41. Nicholas Payne on Reviews of our Bayesian Workflow book from Bin Yu, David Spiegelhalter, Brad Efron, Christian Robert, Rohan Alexander, and Mine Doğucu!July 24, 2026 11:43 AM

    Hello. I’m a retired practical statistician. I observed that project use of statistics was often limited to hypothesis testing as…

  42. AAAnonymous on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 11:19 AM

    This stuff annoys me to bits. To start, sentences like "Despite the clarity of the conceptual distinction, determining whether a…

  43. Roy on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 10:37 AM

    Andrew calls it the "sister blog" because it literally is the blog of his sister. He links to her work…

  44. gec on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 10:25 AM

    Thanks for sharing, this is a great overview of this topic! In particular, I see this as another example of…

  45. Kaiser on Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.)July 24, 2026 10:21 AM

    NIce post bringing up an important point of consideration. The real issue is editing skill. While I agree with the…

  46. John Richters on How generic language shapes the development of social thoughtJuly 24, 2026 10:17 AM

    Andrew: I don’t understand the reason for this post. Am I missing something? John

  47. Olaf Zimmermann on Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.)July 24, 2026 6:40 AM

    Quoth Kieran Healy: "ArcGIS is the 800lb gorilla in this world and QGIS the GIMP to its Photoshop." Clearly he…

  48. Chris on Forking paths in LLMs for data analysisJuly 24, 2026 6:12 AM

    I commented above (July 21 202, 11:51am) that the discussion around AI is weird and I’m going to elaborate a…

  49. Elin on Herman ChernoffJuly 24, 2026 12:58 AM

    I was a grad student at Yale when Tufte's book came out, and people talked about Chernoff faces a lot!…

  50. Olaf Zimmermann on Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”?July 23, 2026 5:31 PM

    Amos Oz (2002/2018) Dear Zealots Amos Tversky (1977) Features of Similarity George Orwell (1946) Politics and the English Language Never…

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