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Democrats do better among the most and least educated groups

These are based on raw Pew data, reweighted to adjust for voter turnout by state, income, and ethnicity. No modeling of vote on age, education, and ethnicity.


I think our future estimates based on the 9-way model will be better, but these are basically OK, I think. All but six of the dots in the graph are based on sample sizes greater than 30.

I published these last year but they’re still relevant, I think. There’s lots of confusion when it comes to education and voting.

One Comment

  1. Rahul says:

    I'm no expert, but I'd say that the circle size variation is quite distracting. Especially for the larger circles it is hard to perceive the centers mentally. Adding some cross hairs might help?

    Alternatively, could size be coded for by color?

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