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La fussy jade laity requited First annual Applied Statistics Center Art Contest

Helen DeWitt’s blog

Posted on March 18, 2008 4:35 PM by Andrew

Rachel sent me this link. I don’t know what sort of novelist would have a blog about statistics, but since we blog about art and literature, I guess it’s only fair. Also she links to Ben Goldacre which is a good sign.

P.S. DeWitt responds here to my question.

This entry was posted in Literature by Andrew. Bookmark the permalink.
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    > Does what was learned not imply what would be repeatedly observed? I don’t know. I could make a prediction…

  2. name withheld by request on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 2:41 PM

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  3. Phil on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 2:33 PM

    I have a standard schtick in which, when someone claims something is "impossible" or "certain", I offer to bet on…

  4. Aki Vehtari on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 2:10 PM

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  5. Keith O'Rourke on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 1:44 PM

    > instead of what can be concluded from what was actually observed Does what was learned not imply what would…

  6. Carlos Ungil on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 12:56 PM

    > I think the primary focus of scientific statistical logic is to discern as best we can from a sample…

  7. chipmunk on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 11:49 AM

    In all of these cases Caplan is betting status quo where there's an extremely high probability that the status quo…

  8. Anoneuoid on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 11:43 AM

    I'd bet that at the end of Biden's presidency, the annual mean temperature is higher than 2021. This has so…

  9. Dylan on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 11:38 AM

    Small addendum: Caplan's perfect streak will almost certainly be broken by his ongoing global temp bet [1]. But that won't…

  10. Alan Goldhammer on Bets as forecasts, bets as probability assessment, difficulty of using bets in this wayAugust 11, 2022 11:24 AM

    To my knowledge Bryan Caplan has never stated how many bets he has turned down. 23 wins in 23 tries…

  11. Keith O'Rourke on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 11:22 AM

    Erik > This is probably not relevant when a data analysis is a one-off. I think the primary focus of…

  12. Keith O'Rourke on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 11:04 AM

    Daniel > Each data analysis needs its own prior. OK, but recall all the prior and likelihood need to be…

  13. Erik on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 9:03 AM

    Note that this is Andrew quoting me quoting Andrew! Frequentists consider the performance of their procedures under repeated sampling where…

  14. Daniel Lakeland on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 11, 2022 7:06 AM

    I just don't buy the part >it’s the set of problems for which a particular statistical model or procedure will…

  15. David in Tokyo on I know it might sound strange but I believe you’ll be coming back before too longAugust 11, 2022 5:24 AM

    "I was involved in some traffic studies in our old neighborhood and they are not as straight forward as one…

  16. Anoneuoid on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 10, 2022 3:05 PM

    Yea, I saw that after. I looked closer at the dates because I first saw plate appearances corresponded to 1…

  17. Jack on I know it might sound strange but I believe you’ll be coming back before too longAugust 10, 2022 3:04 PM

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  18. Victor on Stan downtown intern posters: scikit-stan & constraining transformsAugust 10, 2022 2:45 PM

    I'm assuming it's this one: https://github.com/WardBrian/scikit-stan

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  20. Keith O'Rourke on Bayesian inference continues to completely solve the multiple comparisons problemAugust 10, 2022 1:35 PM

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    I suspect there is a widespread fantasy and aching desire to not to have responsibility for the model assumptions adequately…

  22. Unanon on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 10, 2022 9:02 AM

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  23. Daniel Lakeland on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 9, 2022 11:01 PM

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  24. John N-G on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 9, 2022 3:30 PM

    But the average age of any group of n=0 persons is undefined. The average age of the below group is…

  25. Anoneuoid on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 9, 2022 1:39 PM

    Makes sense. So it is essentially shrinkflation using "health and safety" as an excuse. Actually the trash pickup by me…

  26. Jonathan Falk on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 9, 2022 12:48 PM

    he DH wasn't protective against COVID. It was nominally supposed to protect pitchers since spring training was so short in…

  27. Anoneuoid on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 9, 2022 12:42 PM

    Actually I think this makes a good causal inference example. We abduced an explanation, deduced the quantitative consequences of the…

  28. Anoneuoid on Just show me the data, baseball editionAugust 9, 2022 12:23 PM

    This DH practice for interleague games continued for seasons 1997 through 2021, although in 2020 the MLB allowed the use…

  29. Daniel Lakeland on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 9, 2022 2:37 AM

    The correct answer is zero. You can mathematically prove that the average age of the below group is less than…

  30. Daniel Lakeland on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 9, 2022 2:33 AM

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  31. Phil on I know it might sound strange but I believe you’ll be coming back before too longAugust 9, 2022 12:45 AM

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  32. chipmunk on I know it might sound strange but I believe you’ll be coming back before too longAugust 8, 2022 8:05 PM

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  34. John N-G on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 4:44 PM

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  35. Dale Lehman on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 2:13 PM

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  36. John N-G on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 1:21 PM

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  37. John N-G on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 12:07 PM

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  38. name withheld by request on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 12:02 PM

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  39. Phil on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 11:36 AM

    The full text is available (free, no login required) at https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5548330/ I think Gregory Mayer has it right in his…

  40. Dale Lehman on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 11:21 AM

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  41. Tom Passin on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 11:17 AM

    The paper may be using the acronym "AGE" = "Advanced glycation end-product". It's a common acronym in some nutrition-related circles.…

  42. Gregory C. Mayer on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 10:49 AM

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  43. Raghu Parthasarathy on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 10:30 AM

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  44. Dale Lehman on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 10:25 AM

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  45. Thomas on At last! Incontrovertible evidence (p=0.0001) that people over 40 are older, on average, than people under 40.August 8, 2022 10:01 AM

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  46. Asher on I know it might sound strange but I believe you’ll be coming back before too longAugust 8, 2022 8:46 AM

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