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The Averaged American: thoughts during Igo’s talk A puzzle from Laurie Snell

Vin Scully is a Republican

Posted on January 26, 2007 6:21 PM by Andrew

From Sports Media Watch, via Can’t Stop the Bleeding. Kareem appears to be a Democrat, but he gave to Bill Bradley so maybe this doesn’t really count.

This entry was posted in Political Science by Andrew. Bookmark the permalink.
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  1. Robert on Structural equation modeling (SEM) and positive definitenessJuly 9, 2026 5:57 AM

    I think the biggest questions arise from the Bayesian approach to SEM (especially when moving a bit more into IRT-land…

  2. Robert on Structural equation modeling (SEM) and positive definitenessJuly 9, 2026 5:36 AM

    1. You asked what (b)lavaan do to handle structural zeroes in the covariance matrices. As of a few years ago,…

  3. AAAnonymous on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 9, 2026 2:50 AM

    Quote from above: "I am unfamiliar with the problems with the p-curve analysis. Can someone point me to the reading?…

  4. AAAnonymous on A new episode in the Francesca Gino caseJuly 9, 2026 2:34 AM

    I always find it hard to understand the phrasing of lawyers and texts in things like court documents. I also…

  5. Anonymous on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 11:32 PM

    Joshua: Okay, one last comment. I can't resist. I think this is the third time I said this. Someone is…

  6. Other Andrew on Claude builds 3D Hamiltonian Monte Carlo animation in one shot with anaglyphsJuly 8, 2026 9:06 PM

    You get out what you put in. If this stuff is so easy to make, I doubt creating it is…

  7. elin on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 8:59 PM

    That is a really scary story about your colleague. If I did that I would be looking over my shoulder…

  8. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 8:40 PM

    As I've thought about the Anoneouid comparison more... it's actually a really interesting comparison. My position was never a blanket…

  9. Seth Finkelstein on A new episode in the Francesca Gino caseJuly 8, 2026 8:20 PM

    And being foiled by audit logs. Note the latest from the court case: Magistrate Judge Jessica D. Hedges: ELECTRONIC ORDER…

  10. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 8:06 PM

    Anonymous— Since you've said this will probably be your last comment, let me just summarize where I think we're leaving…

  11. Raphael Nishimura on Survey Statistics: toy example for energy balancing weightsJuly 8, 2026 7:58 PM

    Interesting, thanks! I'll say I'm quite intrigued by that and will try it myself when I have tge opportunity.

  12. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 7:51 PM

    Daniel - I appreciate that you've clarified your position. Earlier, I thought we disagreed about whether things like voluntary behavior,…

  13. Andrew King on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 6:18 PM

    Thank you all for posting. All very informative. My two cents are that knowingly publishing something that misleads is research…

  14. Michael Friendly on Claude builds 3D Hamiltonian Monte Carlo animation in one shot with anaglyphsJuly 8, 2026 4:38 PM

    On visualization in courses: I told students in my grad Categorical Data Analysis course, https://friendly.github.io/psy6136/ they could use AI for…

  15. Jared Huling on Survey Statistics: toy example for energy balancing weightsJuly 8, 2026 3:50 PM

    Somewhat counterintuitively, energy balancing can often have a comparable effective sample size as raking, but when it's much lower it's…

  16. Jared Huling on Survey Statistics: toy example for energy balancing weightsJuly 8, 2026 3:49 PM

    Hi Shira, I should say up front that I'm not an expert on survey sampling, so take all of this…

  17. Raphael Nishimura on Survey Statistics: toy example for energy balancing weightsJuly 8, 2026 3:46 PM

    I'm curious whether the weights produced by the energy balancing have more variability than the raked or post-stratified weights. Intuitively,…

  18. Daniel Lakeland on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 2:49 PM

    Joshua, To be fair, I don't disagree with the potential to write a fairly complex model incorporating all the things…

  19. Anonymous on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 2:36 PM

    This is depressing. It seems to me that professional association ethical rules often cover this terrain to an extent, but…

  20. AAAnonymous on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 2:36 PM

    Quote from above: "Where does this all stand relative to failing to correct or even doubling down on claims whilst…

  21. Andrew on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 1:50 PM

    Not: Regarding your last sentence: I give cheaters zero credit for "not holding themselves forth as paragons of virtue." What…

  22. Not a paragon on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 1:19 PM

    Where does this all stand relative to failing to correct or even doubling down on claims whilst representing oneself as…

  23. Eric Pedersen on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 8, 2026 12:28 PM

    Fair, and I noticed the issue confusing total energy vs. power (Joules vs. Watts) in the article, but I should…

  24. AAAnonymous on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 11:51 AM

    This is very complicated stuff in my view, and I reason 1) definitions, and 2) interpretations, and 3) being as…

  25. Jonathan (another one) on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 11:44 AM

    Your moral obligation is to not just to publish results you believe. If that were your only obligation, then fake…

  26. Anon on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 11:13 AM

    Yeah, I don't get that either. Fabricating data in the first place is surely also a conscious decision to mislead…

  27. Alex on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 10:37 AM

    I don't know that I have a strong feeling, but on its face "It suggests a conscious decision to leave…

  28. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 10:33 AM

    Anonymous – As I think more about my last comment, and about the issue of mechanistic causal models, and thinking…

  29. Anonymous on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 9:58 AM

    “Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results?“ I think fabricating data is worse. Other people may use your fabricated data…

  30. Chris on Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?July 8, 2026 9:46 AM

    I had a related circumstance many years (also decades) ago. I had completed my PhD and submitted a paper with…

  31. Anonymous on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 8:19 AM

    Joshua, “Even if we were talking about two distinct kinds of interventions (which I don’t think we are, because mandatory…

  32. AAAnonymous on A new episode in the Francesca Gino caseJuly 8, 2026 8:00 AM

    I imagine Gino hanging down from an open air duct opening, gently lowering herself down to her computer, wiping a…

  33. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 8, 2026 7:33 AM

    Anonymous — You say: “The definition of a distinguishing prediction is: you find a prediction from both models on the…

  34. Seth Finkelstein on A new episode in the Francesca Gino caseJuly 8, 2026 3:03 AM

    Paul: Thank you for that informative explanation. Though it still seems to me that King is being required here to…

  35. Anoneuoid on Claude builds 3D Hamiltonian Monte Carlo animation in one shot with anaglyphsJuly 7, 2026 5:17 PM

    Yep, everyone's just going to build their own custom solutions. These will have rough edges but, since they are for…

  36. Anonymous on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 7, 2026 2:52 PM

    Joshua, you're sounding like a philosopher again. The definition of a distinguishing prediction is: you find a prediction from both…

  37. Raghu Parthasarathy on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 7, 2026 2:42 PM

    I struggle to take seriously a site (from NOAA, no less!) that writes "the total energy released from condensation is…

  38. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 7, 2026 1:17 PM

    Anonymous - I agree that distinguishing predictions are important, but I think that's exactly the gap I'm pointing to. It…

  39. shira on Survey Statistics: Big Changes in the Times/Siena PollJuly 7, 2026 1:15 PM

    This is so great, Ben ! Thank you for sharing. Silly question, what do you mean by: Note that the…

  40. Anonymous on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 7, 2026 12:10 PM

    Joshua, “What I’m trying to understand is some kind of frame for assessing whether this predictive success is genuinely diagnostic…

  41. Joshua on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 7, 2026 11:42 AM

    Daniel - Reading your last comment has helped me clarify my own thinking about where I'm getting stuck. I think…

  42. Andrew on A message for Carol TavrisJuly 7, 2026 10:53 AM

    Roy: You have to scroll down to the end, where there's this letter: I am distressed that the TLS published…

  43. Daniel Lakeland on Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.July 7, 2026 10:46 AM

    Anoneuoid, I personally dont have the time to do this kind of model, but if you want to work on…

  44. Roy on A message for Carol TavrisJuly 7, 2026 10:38 AM

    I don't know about Dr. Tavris, but I now do know that maybe Serbia killed the Archduke. Perhaps the Times…

  45. Daniel Lakeland on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 7, 2026 10:34 AM

    David, I do argue that plagiarism is fraud. The problem with Plagiarism as an argument is its considered a "crime"…

  46. Andrew on A message for Carol TavrisJuly 7, 2026 10:30 AM

    I hadn't noticed! I'll try it.

  47. Rodney Sparapani on A message for Carol TavrisJuly 7, 2026 10:22 AM

    Is the email address on her CV working? https://tavris.socialpsychology.org/cv/Tavris-CV.2026.pdf

  48. somebody on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 7, 2026 9:49 AM

    2-body orbital mechanics is nonlinear, which creates sensitivity to initial conditions, but not chaotic

  49. gec on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 7, 2026 8:43 AM

    Now if only weather were comprised of spherical elastic cows in a vacuum, then we'd have something!

  50. David, a Bostonian in Tokyo on Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsJuly 7, 2026 4:38 AM

    No! It's not fraud, it's plagiarism. You used the LLM's output and put your name, not the LLM's, on the…

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