The talk is Mon 13 Mar, 11:30am Minnesota time, and it will be remote:
The butterfly and the piranha: Understanding the generalizability and reproducibility crisis from statistical and political perspectives
Researchers often act as if causal identification + statistical significance = discovery. This belief is appealing but incorrect, and it can lead to an unfortunate feedback loop by which important aspects of measurement get neglected in social science. From a statistical perspective, we can understand these problems using the framework of multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP), a method originally developed for survey research but which also applies to causal inference and generalization in other settings.
Now consider various flawed quantitative social research claiming large effects on voting and political attitudes based on factors such as hormones, football games, shark attacks, and subliminal smiley faces. We argue there is a political dimension to the continued appeal of what might be called the foolish-voter model. We explore the connections between the statistical problems of ungeneralizable or unreplicable claims, and the political positions supported by those claims.
Hi Andrew, I’m very keen to listen to this talk, but 0430 in Aus could be a struggle (we’ve also got young children). If there is a recording that can be shared, I’d love it if you could let us know (I’d likely also have colleagues who would be interested).
Cheers
Will this be recorded?
Hi GJG, following Andrew’s pretty obvious advice (thank you Andrew), I’ve received a link to the recording of the talk:
https://drive.google.com/uc?id=15HTkh2TuT7a-rtzydGRXOomUkfC4Czzk&export=download__;!!E1R1dd1bLLODlQ4!DDjugabZpPLiBFyJ5LNkV7gCJ2ByrrJNsWelTa6_PlAvMnWdLIwC253_BYf1REJfnkv2KlI4qs7ZzWs$
Cheers
Different, Gjg:
I’m not sure if the talk will be recorded. You can contact the organizers and ask!