Exchange with Deborah Mayo on abandoning statistical significance – Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Andrew on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 8:58 PM
J: I'm thinking that if you were an actual Enron executive, your Enron number is 0. If you worked for…
J on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 8:47 PM
[From the P. P. S.: "And he’ll have a finite Erdos-Bacon-Epstein number too", "I expect he’ll have a reasonably low…
Matt Skaggs on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 7:34 PM
Thanks for mentioning the book by Bazerman, Jonathan. I'm definitely going to read it before the big statistics Trial of…
J on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 5:14 PM
With the help of the hints in the post and the American Mathematical Society's "Collaboration Distance" tool, I found a…
Margaret on Do children grow continuously or do they grow in fits and starts?September 6, 2026 5:11 PM
I know it is only anecdote but many years ago my husband and I were sitting on the couch and…
Michael M. Fry on Do children grow continuously or do they grow in fits and starts?September 6, 2026 4:50 PM
Wilsman and Farnum et al did a lot of work on this topic - for example: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15502578/ Hat tip to…
Joshua on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 2:43 PM
Anon2 - Sure - it wouldn't surprise me if there's varying levels of "trust" in different kinds of scientists. But…
Anonymous on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 2:12 PM
On re-reading, I may have misinterpreted the post - it says "the Cosby Show is fiction, so even though Bradley…
Andrew on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 1:43 PM
Anon2: The worst is when physical scientists say really stupid things regarding social science, as here. Although, to be fair,…
J on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 1:23 PM
Also according to The "Oracle Of Bacon" (dot org), Bill Bradley has no connection to Michael B. Jordan via "feature…
Anon2 on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 1:17 PM
Different anon here. I don’t agree with that guy, but I wonder how much most people trust social scientists vs…
Georgette on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 6, 2026 12:57 PM
Good point. However, sometimes someone is expressing a true intention and the press has to take them seriously. For example,…
Andrew on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 12:44 PM
Jonathan: I think my Ariely number is 4. I'm never played on a varsity sports team, so my Armstrong number…
J on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 12:39 PM
The posted breakdown does not appear to address Evans Boney's MBJ number. According to The "Oracle Of Bacon" (dot org),…
paul alper on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 12:37 PM
typo: "defined my adding the number of links in these three chains of connection:" I think the "my" should be…
J on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 12:31 PM
The posted breakdown appears to establish Evans Boney's Kevin Bacon number as <=4, but does not appear to address his…
Jonathan Baron on Does anyone have a lower Jordan3 number than Evans Boney? (And what about the Ariely-Armstrong-Enron number?)September 6, 2026 11:47 AM
Seems that my Ariely number is 2, because I collaborated with (and published with) Max Bazerman, who co-authored with Ariely,…
Matt Skaggs on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 11:09 AM
" there is nothing “scientific” about ignoring dimensions of the decision problem" Well put! There is a form of willful…
Joshua on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 10:39 AM
Anonymous - > "“Scientists” (mostly a meaningless moniker) wonder why people don’t trust them." It's interesting how often I come…
Dale Lehman on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 9:34 AM
I agree with you regarding the economic analysis of removing the Snake River dams. But I completely disagree with your…
Anonymous on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 8:56 AM
The entire eco-regulatory and consulting industry apparatus is a make-work racket and policy justification factory. One of my fav studies…
Chris on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 6:48 AM
Apparently the traffic bollard was first used in 1721 at Waltham Cross in Hertfordshire to protect a medieval monument from…
Anon on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 6, 2026 5:46 AM
I don't know anything about this specific scenario, but in the UK removable bollards are often used in this situation…
Joshua on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 9:24 PM
My guess is that it would depend mostly on specific traffic patterns and that speculating without those details has limited…
Elin on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 5:08 PM
Not to mention all the fire and ambulance runs that won't be needed when the accidents right there are reduced…
In Boston area on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 4:54 PM
Traffic pattern changes can be remarkably subtle. My condo complex has a feeder road onto a high-traffic parkway, and it…
AAAnonymous on This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).September 5, 2026 3:28 PM
It is quite interesting to think about scientists cracking so to say, or scientists moving to writing about obscure things…
Anonymous on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 3:10 PM
I've read about cities greatly reducing use of sirens on ambulances because the aggressive driving leads to accidents, and apparently…
Meese on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 2:28 PM
Maybe there's not a lot of extra traffic, even though the change would be nonzero. I have no idea of…
Andrew on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 2:26 PM
Joshua: Yes, I guess I didn't phrase it well. Fire damage, deaths, and serious health problems are indeed important. It's…
Joshua on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 2:12 PM
Andrew - > "It’s hard for me to imagine that item #3 counts for much at all." Why. (More fire…
paul alper on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 1:28 PM
According to Thomas Wolfe, "Only the Dead Know Brooklyn" https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1935/06/15/only-the-dead-know-brooklyn but that was written before even I was born and…
=Jukka on “Sane-washing”September 5, 2026 12:08 PM
"If you say so!" https://jruohonen.hcommons.org/2026/09/05/washing/ Perhaps the other conclusion would be about the propagation and popularization of terminology; it indeed…
John G Williams on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 11:35 AM
This reminds me of Environmental Impact Reports here in California. Supposedly independent consulting companies know perfectly well what the powers…
Dale Lehman on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 11:34 AM
That is a skeptical, though not unrealistic, view. Too often, the analysis gets warped to achieve a pre-determined result. In…
Mark on This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).September 5, 2026 11:33 AM
So before calling people out on their BS or worse (e.g. lies and fraud), we should do a welfare check…
Matt Skaggs on OK, here’s a statistics problem for you, ripped directly from the headlines!September 5, 2026 11:20 AM
I'm retired now, but I had to engage in stuff like this when I was working. The dreaded Return on…
Mark on Yale med school prof tells his postdocs: Work extra hours at my command or you’re no better than “the guy who charges me by the hour to cut my lawn.”September 5, 2026 10:45 AM
LOL! I would like to see assistant professors work same hours and do the same kind of tasks as law…
Mark on Yale med school prof tells his postdocs: Work extra hours at my command or you’re no better than “the guy who charges me by the hour to cut my lawn.”September 5, 2026 10:42 AM
You don't think people at Columbia, Harvard, Princeton, Stanford and so on hold similar views?
Mark on Yale med school prof tells his postdocs: Work extra hours at my command or you’re no better than “the guy who charges me by the hour to cut my lawn.”September 5, 2026 10:41 AM
"What ever happened to teaching, research, and service?" As you should know, people at elite universities do not teach much.…
Andrew on This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).September 5, 2026 8:04 AM
Uofc: I'm on that list too, so, yeah, every few months I get the email from that professor ranting about…
John Mashey on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 5, 2026 2:32 AM
Even the Nazi's did some a few good things*, as per "The Nazi War on Cancer"(1999), by Robert Proctor, who…
UofC Grad on This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).September 5, 2026 2:00 AM
As someone who has known Nick in the past, I'm a bit surprised by this multitude of articles and books.…
Andrew on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 11:43 PM
Hey, arson's against the law! Nothing violent here please. Not even as a joke.
Anonymous on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 11:42 PM
If we have to burn academia to the ground and start all over, then the sooner we start the better.
Anonymous on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 11:34 PM
Go Trump!! Crush the DEI imbecile establishment.
gec on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 9:17 PM
> there are some good ideas buried amidst the slime I do not agree with you there, but I appreciate…
John G Williams on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 8:08 PM
Recall Stephanie Grisham's testimony to the Jan. 6 Committee. She said Trump told her "It doesn't matter what you say,…
Andrew on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 7:13 PM
Jazi: The Soviets did some good things too, but there was a problem with the system. I agree with you…
Dale Lehman on Update on U.S. government’s Soviet-style push for “gold standard science”September 4, 2026 2:58 PM
I hope you are not crediting the Trump administration for children surviving measles, people not getting locked in cages by…