The variation-ignoring junk science that’s promoted by the Association for Psychological Science and related academic celebrities. It’s like a poker player thinking: “okay, if push all in from the button I’ll win 3.6 big blinds each and every time.”

I pointed some colleagues to this post, The so-called “lucky golf ball”: The Association for Psychological Science promotes junk science while ignoring the careful, serious work of replication, and they sent along some comments: Correspondent #1: I think the strangest … Continue reading

Does the existence of widespread belief in political disinformation demonstrate that humans are not Bayesians?

Paul Alper writes: Here is sparkling evidence that Bayes theorem needs revision. The link points to a news article pointing to prominent figures in the Republican party and right-wing media circulating misinformation regarding the attack on Paul Pelosi, husband of … Continue reading