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Intelligence has always been artificial or at least artefactual.

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Is it possible to paint an overly bleak picture of university based clinical research?

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Expediting organised experience: What statistics should be?

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

What I missed on fixed effects (plural).

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

What am I missing and what will this paper likely lead researchers to think and do?

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

What you value should set out how you act and that how you represent what to possibly act upon: Aesthetics -> Ethics -> Logic.

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

What to make of reported statistical analysis summaries: Hear no distinction, see no ensembles, speak of no non-random error.

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Seemingly intuitive and low math intros to Bayes never seem to deliver as hoped: Why?

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Take two on Laura Arnold’s TEDx talk.

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Higher credence for the masses: From a Ted talk?

This post is by Keith O’Rourke and as with all posts and comments on this blog, is just a deliberation on dealing with uncertainties in scientific inquiry and should not to be attributed to any entity other than the author. As with any critically-thinking inquirer, the views behind these deliberations are always subject to rethinking […]

Representists versus Propertyists: RabbitDucks – being good for what?

It is not that unusual in statistics to get the same statistical output (uncertainty interval, estimate, tail probability,etc.) for every sample, or some samples or the same distribution of outputs or the same expectations of outputs or just close enough expectations of outputs. Then, I would argue one has a variation on a DuckRabbit. In […]

Applying statistics in science will likely remain unreasonably difficult in my life time: but I have no intention of changing careers.

This post is by Keith. image   (Image from deviantart.com) There are a couple posts I have been struggling to put together, one is on what science is or should be (drawing on Charles Peirce). The other is on why a posterior is not a posterior is not a posterior: even if mathematically equivalent – they […]

The Prior: Fully comprehended last, put first, checked the least?

Priors are important in Bayesian inference. Some would even say : ” In Bayesian inference you can—OK, you must—assign a prior distribution representing the set of values the coefficient [i.e any unknown parameter] can be.” Although priors are put first in most expositions, my sense is that in most applications they are seldom considered first, are […]

Avoiding only the shadow knowing the motivating problem of a post.

Given I am starting to make some posts to this blog (again) I was pleased to run across a youtube of Xiao-Li Meng being interviewed on the same topic by Suzanne Smith the Director of the Center for Writing and Communicating Ideas. One thing I picked up was to make the problem being addressed in […]

Missed Friday the 13th Zombie Plot Update

The revised paper plot13.pdf Slightly improved figures figure13.pdf And just the history part from my thesis – that some find interesting. (And to provide a selfish wiki meta-analysis entry pointer) JustHistory.pdf I have had about a dozen friends read this or earlier versions – they split into finding it interesting (and pragmatic) versus incomprehensible. The […]

Explaining that plot.

With some upgrades from a previous post. And with a hopefully clear 40+ page draft paper (see page 16). Drawing Inference – Literally and by Individual Contribution.pdf Comments are welcome, though my reponses may be delayed. (Working on how to best render the graphs.) K? p.s. Plot was modified so that it might be better […]

What Zombies see in Scatterplots

This video caught my interest – news video clip (from this post2) https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2011/02/on_summarizing/ The news commentator did seem to be trying to point out what a couple of states had to say about the claimed relationship – almost on their own. Some methods have been worked out for zombies to do just this! So I […]

Attractive models (and data) wanted for statistical art show.

I have agreed to do a local art exhibition in February. An excuse to think about form, colour and style for plotting almost individual observation likelihoods – while invoking the artists privilege of refusing to give interpretations of their own work. In order to make it possibly less dry I’ll try to use intuitive suggestive […]

Biostatistics via Pragmatic and Perceptive Bayes.

This conference touches nicely on many of the more Biostatistics related topics that have come up on this blog from a pragmatic and perceptive Bayesian perspective. Fourth Annual Bayesian Biostatistics Conference Including the star of that recent Cochrane TV debate who will be the key note speaker. See here Subtle statistical issues to be debated […]

Subtle statistical issues to be debated on TV.

There is live debate that will available this week for those that might be interested. The topic: Can early stopped trials result in misleading results of systematic reviews?