From Joe, here are the data that he used to predict House vote shares from pre-election polls in midterm elections for the Erikson, Bafumi, and Wlezien paper:
(See here for the big version of the graph.)
From Joe, here are the data that he used to predict House vote shares from pre-election polls in midterm elections for the Erikson, Bafumi, and Wlezien paper:
(See here for the big version of the graph.)